Algorithmic Verification

Statistical Robustness

We don't optimize for the 'ideal backtest.' We optimize for robustness. Here is the historical performance data in the Prop Firm arena.

Net Profit
$316,237.50
Total (5 Funded Accounts)
Profit Factor
3.20
Gross Profit / Gross Loss
Max Drawdown
-$2,381.25
Calculated Per Account
Win Rate
52.31%
Based on 110 Verified Trades

Cumulative Equity Curve

Performance verified via NinjaTrader 8 Strategy Analyzer on MNQ market.
Verification Period: 02/05/2024 — 18/11/2025
REALIZED_PNL
PREDICTED_VARIANCE
27/0516/0716/0809/0911/1018/1123/1231/0124/0228/0305/0512/0607/0804/0907/1018/11$-110k$0k$110k$220k$330k

Drawdown Management

In the Prop Firm ecosystem, Net Profit is vanity; Drawdown is sanity. Most retail algorithms fail not because they don't make money, but because they breach the trailing threshold during a drawdown sequence.

Catalyst is engineered with a hard-coded "Regime Filter". When volatility drops below acceptable expansion thresholds (ADX < 20 or narrow Bollinger contractions), the system enters Hibernate Mode.

  • Max drawdown strictly controlled at $2,381.25 (Per Account).
  • Volatility-adjusted sizing prevents exposure during news shocks.

The Profit Factor Edge

A Profit Factor of 3.20 means that for every dollar lost, the system generates $3.20. This is This is one of the clearest metrics of structural consistency.

Why does this matter for you? Because it helps reduce the impact of losing streaks on execution discipline. With a high Read/Reward ratio (avg win is 1.5x avg loss), the system is designed to recover from periods of drawdown efficiently than "scalping" strategies that rely on high win rates but suffer catastrophic losses.

Strategic Implication

This mathematical skew allows you to survive the inevitable "chop" days without blowing your evaluation account, keeping you in the game for the Trend Days where 80% of the month's profit is made.

CFTC RULE 4.41 – HYPOTHETICAL OR SIMULATED PERFORMANCE RESULTS HAVE CERTAIN LIMITATIONS. UNLIKE AN ACTUAL PERFORMANCE RECORD, SIMULATED RESULTS DO NOT REPRESENT ACTUAL TRADING. ALSO, SINCE THE TRADES HAVE NOT BEEN EXECUTED, THE RESULTS MAY HAVE UNDER-OR-OVER COMPENSATED FOR THE IMPACT, IF ANY, OF CERTAIN MARKET FACTORS, SUCH AS LACK OF LIQUIDITY. SIMULATED TRADING PROGRAMS IN GENERAL ARE ALSO SUBJECT TO THE FACT THAT THEY ARE DESIGNED WITH THE BENEFIT OF HINDSIGHT. NO REPRESENTATION IS BEING MADE THAT ANY ACCOUNT WILL OR IS LIKELY TO ACHIEVE PROFIT OR LOSSES SIMILAR TO THOSE SHOWN.

Enough Data?

Data-driven development. The framework is built to support disciplined execution.

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